By Daniel McSweeney
SOLIHULL, England — Back in 1992 when the Queen was a sprightly 66-year-old, the British Royal Family had a rather terrible year. One Commonwealth country had decided to abolish the Monarchy; Windsor Castle almost burned to the ground; and Royal family members were getting up to all sorts of mischief. One morning I suspect the Queen probably looked in the mirror; tallied up all the setbacks and with a mournful sigh, sadly reckoned it to be a truly ‘annus horribilis.’
It just seemed that no matter which way she turned, there was grief on the horizon. It all perhaps seemed like a never-ending spiral downward where it was a challenge to keep things in perspective. It happens to most of us at some time in our lives. In this state of mind, we wake up each day and wonder what next bad thing will happen. It can become a self-fulfilling prophecy. And when the next distraction occurs, we proudly claim amidst our tears that ‘we knew this was going to happen.”
2016 ‘annus horribilis’
Now in 2016, the United Kingdom seems to have self-inflicted a broader kind of ‘annus horribilis.’ It all came to a head of course with ‘Brexit.’ British political parties are falling apart. Conservative PM David Cameron has resigned; and no new leadership will be in place until the autumn. And in the Labor Party, the knives are out for leader Jeremy Corbyn whose party critics claim he only half-heartedly supported the remain campaign. And of course, the pound has plummeted. Consumer spending and investment are on the downswing. And business pessimism has pretty much doubled. And while there might be a boost in tourism and a few other ‘export’ bright spots from a lower pound; the ‘other’ long-term term impacts of the currency issue seem to outweigh the positives.
I have studiously tried to avoid writing much about ‘Brexit; but it is such a pervasive subject that spills out in conversations no matter where you go. Just yesterday, I spent a half hour chatting with a man who wanted to talk about the crisis. He moved here from India 60 years ago and he worries that the country will spin-off into isolation from nearby Europe where he and his family have enjoyed seamless travel. Young people he says see themselves both as British – and as citizens of the world. And there is such a huge enticing, opportunity-filled part of the world a few short miles across the channel. And like many people, he worries about uncertainty emerging from the leave decision.
The UK steel industry is also in crisis mode; even before Brexit. It’s being sold off in pieces by corporate Indian giant Tata. And as I write, there are still thousands of steel and support jobs in peril. Port Talbot in Wales for instance will be devastated if the operations there shut down.
And while all this is unfolding, there seems to be other ‘reckonings’ in the British milieu.
After seven years of investigation resulting in the 2.6 million word Chilcot Report, it’s been concluded that the quick-to-pull the trigger Americans suckered former Prime Minister Tony Blair into taking the UK into war. The general view is that Britain all to easily bought into the ‘weapons of mass destruction’ story; that British troops were ill-equipped to join the fight – and the outcome was disastrous in loss of life and helped create the terrible state of world affairs today.
It’s even been bad on the football pitch in a country so engaged in football that it boasts 40,000 association football clubs, 11,000 more than any other country. And yet this football nation of 64 million people lost to Iceland – a country of about 320,000 where football is a passion; but hardly like in the UK. And even in this scenario, like the politicians who stirred up Brexit, the team manager resigned and reportedly left the country. (I doubt if Brexit had anything to do with the loss; but the outcome has not improved the mindset here. Congratulations to Iceland though, a country where ‘the first lady’ is actually a Canadian.What a great victory!)
Brexit has brought a rather dark cloud to hover over the United Kingdom; one that can be expected to rain down heavily on the heads of Brits in the months and years ahead. And while we Canadians have had crises in our country, the magnitude of the troubles here is beyond my comprehension.
It has already triggered so many negative outcomes; here and across Europe; in fact in places across the world. Only history will judge the merits (or lack thereof) in the ‘courageous’ exit decision of the British people. In the meantime a growing crisis of uncertainty envelopes the UK. And with each passing day, the pain of this ‘prolonged’ uncertainty etches deeply into the economy and ratchets up fear for the future. I believe people now have more questions than they did before the June 23 referendum. And I am convinced they are going to have to wait a long time to get answers.
They ponder what will happen with the economy? Will the UK break up? Will other countries leave the EU and Europe fall apart altogether taking us back to a 1930’s that eventually saw war break out? Or will all this lead to an EU reform and a stronger and more United Europe? From people I have spoken with, they are more concerned about ‘kitchen table issues’ emerging from the leave vote outcome. Will I lose my job? Will my earning power be eroded? Will my power rates go up? Will my children be able to secure employment in continental Europe like in the past? Questions and more questions; and yet very few answers – and a tsunami of uncertainty eating away at the UK. And it’s this growing climate of ‘uncertainty’ that is the culprit; and only when answers become clearer will the healing process begin. Don’t hold your breath though!
Be gone Hapless Joe!
I am sure there are lots of Britons staring themselves in the mirror these days wondering if 2016 will turn out to be another annus horrbilis. In fact, I suspect most would claim we are well into such a year; precipitated by the most significant crisis since World War Two. And what makes matters worse is the spectre of the UK (and Europe) just beginning a series of such bad years. Is this indeed the beginning of a losing streak for a nation that once ruled an empire; a country that in spite of losing so much far-flung real estate over the years has defiantly retained a certain greatness? Only time will tell.
As a Canadian living in the United Kingdom, I am reminded of one of my favorite comic strips from my youth ‘Li’l Abner.’ The strip character that that comes to mind is ‘Joe Btfsplk’ – a little man with a perpetual black cloud over his head;‘the world’s worst jinx.’ In some ways, it seems like Joe has settled down in the UK for a while. The good news is that Joe doesn’t usually hang around for long. He was perhaps a house guest of the Royal Family in 1992. He eventually moved on to other places.
With Brexit, he is back yet again. Unfortunately, the circumstances of retreating leadership and no clear answers about the future, means that Joe is unpacking his luggage and just might apply for a British concessionary bus pass, that like ours will not expire until 2020. Sorting out all this mess is undeniably going to take a lot of time. On that rather pessimistic note, I will simply say ‘be gone Joe Btfsplk’ – the sooner the better! And when you are gone, let’s hope Britain will have an even brighter future.